What overpopulation ???

What overpopulation ???

The world trend with a Total fertility Rate under 2…TFR below 2, North of Italy, 0,7…
In the year 2470, only 2 people on the whole planet…without any war or plague…

We need TFR above 2,2 just to reproduce humans…

One of my powerpoint given in Philippines, in Canada, in Poland, in Madagascar, Congo, Switzerland, France etc…


https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B-p0lmjLtiXzOUxQSXFOQXA4SGJ1U29yQlMwbnBpck5rWjA4/edit?usp=sharing

Famous Conrad Black, … in his book “a Matter of Principle” (p.48) writes that
during a dinner given by the Cardinal Gerald Emmett Carter in 1990 …

[Pope Benedict]
“lamented ‘the slow suicide of Europe:’ its population was aging and
shrinking, and the unborn were being partly replaced by unassimilable
immigrants. He thought that Europe would awake from its torpor, but that
there were difficult days head.”
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conrad_Black

In
the foreword to his biography If I Were An Animal, Prince Philip
wrote, “In the event that I am reincarnated, I would like to return as a
deadly virus, in order to contribute something to solve
overpopulation.”


What overpopulation ???

a big manipulation…

Manipulations
? Steve Moshe and Julian Simon : Human beings are the ultimate
resource.” 



Confessions of an economic hitman

overpopulation propaganda…


As the
very first line of Steven Mosher’s latest book reads, we have all
grown up “on a poisonous diet of overpopulation propaganda.”

Comme
on peut le lire dès la toute première ligne du dernier livre de Steve
Mosher, nous avons tous grandi “sous le régime empoisonné de la
propagande sur la surpopulation”.

Mosher’s book, Population Control-Real Costs, Illusory Benefits,
is, first and foremost, an answer to the allegation that the human
race is inexorably multiplying, hell-bent toward a giant demographic
cliff like so many lemmings. Le livre de Mosher, le Coût réel du contrôle de la population, bénéfices ilusoires,
est, tout d’abord et principalement, une réponse à l’allégation selon
laquelle la race humaine se multiplie inexorablement, acharnée à se
précipiter vers une falaise démographique géante comme tant de
lemmings.

The
numbers show that the world is not, has never been, nor ever shall
be, overpopulated. In fact, according to the world’s experts — even
the ones advocating population control — birthrates around the world
are dropping at a precipitous rate. Les
chiffres montrent que le monde n’est pas, n’a jamais été, ne sera
jamais non plus, surpeuplé. En fait, d’après les experts mondiaux – y
compris ceux prônant contrôle de la population – les naissances dans le
monde entier chutent à un taux vertigineux.

The
book thus torpedoes the lifeboat scenario, which argued that in order
to survive, we had to throw some of the earth’s passengers overboard.
Le livre, par conséquent, torpille le
scénario du bateau qui coule, qui argumentait que pour survivre, nous
devions passer quelques-uns des passagers par-dessus bord.

But it is much more than this. The history of the population control
movement is replete with human rights abuses. Those who were made to
walk the plank of abortion, sterilization, and contraception — all for
the supposed good of humanity — have some horrific tales to tell. Mais
c’est plus que ça. L’histoire du mouvement pour le contrôle de la
population est remplie de violations des droits de l’homme. Ceux qui
étaient faits marcher dans le programme d’avortement, de stérilisation,
et de contraception -tous pour le soi-disant bien de l’humanité- ont
quelques histoires atroces à raconter.

The
first chapters of Mosher’s book describe the history of the
population control movement, and how it is has never been the
scientific, intelligent or cultural phenomenon it styles itself to be.
Les premiers chaptres du livre de Mosher
décrivent l’histoire du mouvement pour le contrôle de la population,
et comment il n’a jamais été jamais été le phénomène scientifique,
intelligent et culturel dont il se donne l’apparence.

Rather,
this movement was started and sustained by figures like Thomas
Malthus, Margaret Sanger, John D. Rockefeller, and Hugh Moore, who led a
contentious movement dominated by cultural elitism, racial hysteria
and ignorance. As Mosher pointedly argues, their legacy has cost
millions their lives and tens of millions more their basic rights.
Plus exactement, ce mouvement a été lancé et soutenu par des
personnages comme Thomas Malthus, Margaret Sanger, John D. Rockefeller,
et Hugh Moore, qui dirigeaient un mouvement contesté dominé par
l’élitisme culturel, l’hystérie raciale et l’ignorance. Comme Mosher le
démontre de manière significative, leur héritage a coûté leur vie à
des millions de personnes, et à des dizaines de millions de plus leurs
droits les plus fondamentaux.

“Human
rights are nonnegotiable, or they are not rights at all,” contends
Mosher. “Abuses of basic rights, such as the right to bear children,
cannot be expunged by reference to any calculus of costs versus
benefits, any more than comparable violations of other basic human
rights can be explained away, excused, or justified by reference to a
supposedly larger social good.
“Les Droits de l’Homme ne sont pas négociables, ou bien ce ne sont
pas des droits du tout”, soutient Mosher. “Les droits fondamentaux,
comme le droit de porter des enfants, ne peuvent pas être supprimés en
référence à un quelconque calcul de coûts contre bénéfices ; pas plus
que des violations comparables d’autres droits de l’homme
fondamentaux ne peuvent être expliquées, excusées ou justifiées en
référence à soi-disant plus grand bien social.

The
book explains exactly how the population control movement continues
to violate these basic rights, in the pursuit for a false “good” —
fewer children. Le livre explique exactement
comment le mouvement pour le contrôle de la population continue de
violer ces droits fondamentaux, poursuivant un faux “bien” – moins
d’enfants.

Population Control-Real Costs, Illusory Benefits is, first and
foremost, an answer to the allegation that the human race is inexorably
multiplying. “le Coût réel du contrôle de
la population, bénéfices ilusoires” est, d’abord et avant tout, une
réponse à l’allégation selon laquelle la race humaine est en train de
se multilier inexorablement.

Mosher
lays out the China Model, based on China’s one-child policy, and how
population programs everywhere draw on its tactics. Nigeria provides
an apt case study of how Western population controllers continue to
strong-arm national governments into implementing abusive policies,
policies that undermine the basic rights and freedoms of their people. Mosher
expose systématiquement le modèle de la Chine, basé sur la politique
de l’enfant unique, et montre comment les programmes de population ont
entraîné partout ses tactiques. Le Nigeria fournit un cas d’étude qui
permet de voir comment les contrôleurs de population occidentaux
continuent d’utiliser la manière forte avec les gouvernements nationaux
pour les obliger à mettre en oeuvre des politiques abusives, des
politiques qui sapent les droits fondamentaux et les libertés de leurs
peuples.

But
the population controllers not only run roughshod over human rights
for the sake of the supposed “greater good” of population decline (the
chapter “Human Rights and Reproductive Wrongs includes a detailed,
annotated list of human rights abuses perpetuated in the name of
population control), they also sap primary health care programs and
marginalize real health needs. Mais les
contrôleurs de population ne se contentent pas de piétiner les Droits de
l’Homme par égard pour un soi-disant “plus grand bien” de déclin de
la population (le chapitre “Droits de l’Homme et injustices
reproductives” inclut une liste détaillée et annotée de violation des
Droits de l’Homme perpétrés au nom du contrôle de la population), ils
minent les programmes de santé prioritaires et ils marginalisent les
besoins réels de santé.

For
example, because of the time and money wasted on unwanted and
unnecessary contraceptives and abortifacient devices, malaria runs
rampant in Africa. Developing countries end up with thousands of health
clinics that literally carry nothing but contraceptives while people
die from treatable diseases. Par exemple, à
cause du temps et de l’argent dépensés dans des moyens contraceptifs
et abortifs non désirés et non nécéssaires, la malaria se déchaîne en
Afrique. Des pays en voie de développement se retrouvent finalement
avec des milliers de cliniques qui n’ont littéralement rien d’autre que
des contraceptifs pendant que les gens meurent de maladies curables.  

Neither do population control programs provide any real benefits. Les programmes de contrôle de la population n’apportent pas de bénéfices réels non plus.

Its
“benefits” are mere illusions designed to dupe developing nations
into submitting to an elitist, western agenda. Population control,
writes Mosher, is just that: control. Organizations like the UNFPA,
far from being “here to help,” have in fact been bearers of death to
our less developed neighbors. Ses
“bénéfices” sont de pures illusions mises au point pour duper les pays
en voie de développement et les amener à se soumettre à un ordre du
jour occidental et élitiste. Des organisations comme l’UNFPA, loin
d’être “là pour aider”, ont en fait été porteurs de mort pour nos
voisins moins développés.

Population
Control does not simply outline the problems; it proposes a solution
as well. Mosher dedicates his final chapter to possible ways that
developed nations can avoid the demographic disaster that now
threatens. Small tax credits and paltry child subsidies are not nearly
enough. Young couples, he argues, need to be sheltered from taxes
altogether.And population control programs needed to be ended as soon
as possible. Contrôle de la population…
n’expose pas seulement les grandes lignes des problèmes ; il propose
une solution aussi. Mosher dedie son dernier chapitre aux moyens
possibles par lesquels les nations développées peuvent éviter le désatre
démographique qui maintenant menace. Des crédits à faible taux et de
misérables subventions pour les enfants ne sont pas encore assez. Les
jeunes couples, argumente-t-il, ont besoin d’être protégés des taux et
des taxes. Et on a besoin d’en finir avec les programmes de contrôle
de la population aussi vite que possible.

Mosher ends by quoting the late Julian Simon: Human beings are the ultimate resource.”  Mosher termine en citant le regretté Julian Simon : “Les êtres humains sont la ressource suprême”.

John Perkins’s classic exposé, Confessions of an Economic Hit Man,
spent
over 70 weeks on the New York Times bestseller list and is published
in more than 30 languages. His follow-up, The Secret History of the
American Empire, provides a plan for creating a sustainable, just, and
peaceful world. He is the author of Shapeshifting, The World Is As You
Dream It, and other books on indigenous cultures and personal
transformation; is a founder and board member of Dream Change and The
Pachamama Alliance, nonprofit organizations devoted to establishing a
world our children will want to inherit; and has lectured at
universities in many countries.

Read more

My powerpoint given in Philippines, in Canada, in Poland etc…

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B-p0lmjLtiXzOUxQSXFOQXA4SGJ1U29yQlMwbnBpck5rWjA4/edit?usp=sharing

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1elrfw95H0sZFDlXQxCmRFuNsbdY6eoypZ9dFOYmdmgg/edit?usp=sharing

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1WJuZGi6DQITjAAj6DkcKCsN3b6cbwRf8QR3-FZwUKs4/edit?usp=sharing

Population Research Institute] <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/>

   – Home <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/>
   – POP 101 <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pop101/>
   – Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=111779065924>
   – Downloads <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/downloads/>
   – Donate <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/donations-welcome>

  Downloads
  Here you can download the videos and various materials so you can spread
the word to others.      Food: There’s Lots of

It<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/food-theres-lots-of-it-download>

To download, right click on the link, then click “Save As…”

Download the video <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverPop3DL.wmv>.
Download the PowerPoint
Presentation<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverPop3.ppt>

.
     2.1 Kids: A Stable

Population<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/2-point-1-kids-a-stable-population-download>

  To download, right click on the link, then click “Save As…”

Download the video <http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverPop2DL.wmv>.
Download the PowerPoint
Presentation<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverPop2.ppt>

.
      Overpopulation: The Making of a

Myth<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/overpopulation-the-making-of-a-myth-downloads>

  To download, right click on the link, then click “Save As…”

Download the video<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverpopMakingOfAMyth.wmv>
.
Download the PowerPoint
presentation<http://overpopulationisamyth.com/pub/OverpopMakingOfAMyth.ppt>


Meaning of the coat of arms: Chapel of Gstaad, St Niklaus.
Let the dragon that is in each of us within 7 locks.

Week of study  held in Rougemont, Canada in four languages end of August or in May followed by the Congress beg. of September or in May 2013, 9 au 18 May, week of studies and Jericho 19 up to 26 May with free pilgrimages.

 

Free meals, free pilgrimages ( St Joseph, N-D du Cap et St Anne )and free rooms for all our guests from countries outside of Canada.


http://books.google.ch/books?id=r68RzMwd6qIC&pg=PA10&lpg=PA10&dq=europe+hiver+d%C3%A9mographique+siebenthal&source=bl&ots=Zda35suirS&sig=0C71GcU1kHKMZFt63Q_MMyiI_a8&hl=fr&sa=X&ei=4Wn_Us-HLKfF7Ab224HYDA&ved=0CEMQ6AEwAw#v=onepage&q=europe%20hiver%20d%C3%A9mographique%20siebenthal&f=false

http://www.union-ch.com/file/Speeches_and_workshops_of_the_03_04_.pdf

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1MRXDMGi4zbTYwFiKI8qpqFeAg3ayEkLaufWq4OrlQ0o/edit?hl=fr&authkey=CLrT-IwK


see Matchafa.

http://www.interet-general.info/article.php3?id_article=7506

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confessions_of_an_Economic_Hit_Man

http://www.juliansimon.org/writings/


Below, the world trend with a Total fertility Rate under 2…TFR below 2 )
In the year 2470, only 2 people on the whole planet…

[Europe-hiver.jpg]


http://books.google.ch/books?id=r68RzMwd6qIC&pg=PA195&lpg=PA195&dq=siebenthal+europe+hiver&source=bl&ots=Zca64qAfmL&sig=cXpRrD_DYgFHrenhEKfoUUqXU-k&hl=fr&ei=7JA1TcaBI42TswaTyOGjCg&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=3&ved=0CB8Q6AEwAg#v=onepage&q=siebenthal%20europe%20hiver&f=false

  1. Manipulations ? Steve Moshe and Julian Simon

    22 oct. 2008 – Steve Moshe and Julian Simon : Human beings are the ultimate resource.”

  2. F PLEASE WATCH THIS HUNGER

    5 avr. 2009 – Julian Simon
    said in his book ” the ultimate Resource 1″ that he was paid by those
    people to prove that Earth was overpopulated, but he wrote 

  3. An interview with a former Swiss banker

    He recently spoke to Francois de Siebenthal, who is a former banker from Julian Simon said in his book “The Ultimate Resource 1” that he was paid by those 

    http://desiebenthal.blogspot.ch/2014/02/homo-sapiens-population-is-crashing.html


Symptoms of the global demographic decline



Translated by Demographia.ru | Original version in Russian

"" Igor Beloborodov,
Ph.D, Editor-in-Chief of  Demographia.ru, member of  the Expert Council
of the CIS Affairs Committee of the Council of the Russian Federation,
Director of  Demographic Research Institute (Moscow), Head
of the Charity Fund for Protection of Family, Motherhood and Childhood (the first Russian crisis pregnancy center), Vice Chairman of the All-Russian public organization “For life and protection of family values”

E-mail: demographia@demographia.ru

""Based on the paper
Family Degradation in the Context of Demographic Changes.
Global depopulation as a consequence of value crisis

prepared for the round table discussion
“Family: Origins and Future of Civilizations”
took place within the framework of
World Public Forum
“Dialogue of Civilizations”
(October 7–11, 2010, Greece, Rhodes)

The time we live in will surely go down in history as a period of
great changes. The entire second half of the 20th century along with the
beginning of the 21st century is really an epoch of exceptional
technological innovations, scientific discoveries and significant
social progress.
Space exploration, IT, medicine,
service industry, education, social safety nets—all these and more have
been progressing at an unprecedented pace. As a result, human
abilities as well as the intellectual and technological potential of
humankind have increased tremendously.
Nevertheless, there are also negative processes against the
background of this material and technological success. The human being
has started to degrade both spiritually and morally. The world has been
overwhelmed by such phenomena—marginal in previous times—as
euthanasia, pornography, homosexuality, concubinage, mass adultery,
divorces, promiscuity (leading to AIDS and venereal disease epidemics),
teen pregnancy, abortion, fetal therapy, one- or two-child families,
rejection of procreation (childlessness by choice, or child free
phenomenon).
But in pursuit of material wealth, the humankind has unhappily
forgotten about the family. And this fact makes the expert community
feel apprehension about our demographic future. Family was always an
absolutely natural form of human existence and, as it seemed, was not
something to worry about.
However, today the traditional family
(i.e. the family that consists of two parents and several children) is
experiencing real crisis; and if appropriate steps to save the family
are not urgently taken, it can leave the stage of history forever.
Having allowed the anti-family ideology of so-called “family
planning” to dominate in the society, the humankind has set out on the
path towards its imminent death—physical, historical, and spiritual.
Here, it is important to note that when speaking of the family we mean the basic social unit (the arche) defined by the following inherent attributes.

A family is a union of a man and a woman, which

  • voluntarily entered into legal or/and ceremonial marriage;
  • initially intend to be together for life;
  • live together and share a common household;
  • want to reproduce themselves both biologically and socially.

Demographic Evolution: Failed Overpopulation or Forthcoming Depopulation?

Contrary to the statements of liberal-minded demographers and
sociologists, the today’s family crisis is not a natural process. Could
the extinction of entire nations even be considered natural? It is
possible only for a misanthropic, Nazi-like ideology.
The destruction of family is actually caused by:

  • secularization of mass consciousness,
  • moving away from traditional values (including those of religious),
  • long-standing attacks of anti-family forces on traditional family values.

For a long time we have been threatened with global overpopulation.
Family planning organizations as well as some funds acting under UN
auspices did all their best to reduce birth rate in Africa, Asia, Latin
America, and former Soviet Union countries. And what are the results?
The results have exceeded all expectations of traditional family
opponents. The birth rate was not merely declined but literally crashed.
However, once this has happened, not a single government in the world,
not a single scientist or an expert group has offered anything to
achieve the reverse effect.
The humankind has found a way to reduce fertility, but now nobody knows how to raise it back.

Rate of Population Reproduction Change

In the nearest future, according to all existing demographic
forecasts, the growth of world population will be steadily slowing down
and finally have transformed itself into a depopulating trend.
The most probable demographic forecast, World Population Prospect,
suggests that the rate of population reproduction over the period
2005–2050 will change in the following way as compared to the period
1950–1975 [1]:
Table 1 — Average Annual Rate of Population Change
(The World and Regions, 1950-2050), %

Regions 1950—1975 2005—2050 
World 1.92 0.38
Developed countries 1.01 -0.30
Africa 2.47 1.35
Asia 2.16 0.26
Europe 0.84 -0.60
Latin America 2.62 0.34
North America 1.4 0.28
Oceania 2.03 0.48

According to the data provided in the table, the rate of population growth in 2005–2050 will be:

  • more than 5 times less over the whole world;
  • 1.83 times less in Africa;
  • 8.3 times less in Asia;
  • 7.7 times less in Latin America;
  • 5 times less in North America;
  • 4.3 times less in Oceania.

In two groups of countries, the demographic trends are going to be sharply negative:

  • –0.3% in developed countries;
  • –0.6% in European countries.

Even China—the indisputable population front runner—will face
negative figures of fertility rate in the medium term. Already by 2048,
China’s population will start to rapidly decline.
During the same period, the rate of population growth in India—the
second demographic leader—will 5 times slow down: from 2 percent to 0.4
percent.
It should be emphasized that the historical low peacetime fertility
(0.7 children per one woman) was recently reached precisely in Asia—in
Macau and Hong Kong (special administrative regions of China).
Many European countries have also faced population decline. Russia,
Ukraine, Belarus, Germany, Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Czech Republic,
Italy, and Poland are now dying out states with many thousands of
annual population losses. Practically, all Europe became a region of
increasing depopulation.
Only in some European countries (France, Switzerland, and the
Netherlands) the negative demographic trends are still being moderated
by immigration. However, the immigration flow will soon have run its
course, and after that the ruthless depopulation will engulf the whole
of Europe.

Fertility Decline is the Key Family and Demographic Problem

The main statement of this article is that the global fertility
decline is the fundamental demographic problem of the human race. And
the reason for the decline is that the family has ceased to perform its
main function—the function that for thousands of years has provided
reproduction of new generations.
But it is the fertility—not the longevity or immigration—that is crucial to the human reproduction.
It gives new members to the society; it guarantees stability to
families (in addition to the naturalness of having children). Not
coincidentally, the family decay possibility decreases with every new
child born, according to the divorce statistics.
 
Further, the world demographic and family trends will be represented.
The study of reproductive behavior characteristics in different
parts of the world has revealed a widespread decrease of the average
number of children born by a woman. Over the last 18–20 years, the
fertility rate declined rather rapidly and now it does not reach 5
children per woman even in Africa, where only a few decades ago the
total fertility rate fluctuated around 7 children per woman.
""
Figure 1. The total fertility rate, as it declines in different parts of the world, 1990–2008.
The chart on Figure 2, where a change in fertility over the past 20
years (1990–2010) in ten most populous countries is shown, vividly
illustrates the onrushing demographic disaster.
It is also remarkable that the countries of this Top10—China, India,
USA, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Russia, and
Japan—cover almost all continents and include followers of all the
world’s major religions. The total population of the Top10 is about 4 billion, which is the majority of the world population.
""
Figure 2. The change in total fertility rates over the 1990—2010 decade
in the world’s most populous countries.
Now let us take a wider time interval and look not only at the
“leaders.” The chart on Figure 3 shows how total fertility rates of 18
industrially developed countries reduced during the period from 1950 up
to the present day.
""
Figure 3. Fertility decline in 18 industrially developed countries
over the last 60 decades (1950—2010)
As you can see on Figure 3, each country’s curve steadily drops
down. Although different continents and even different civilizations are
shown on the chart, the demographic diagnosis is the same for all of
them: explicit or temporarily latent depopulation.
The next chart (see Figure 4) shows a retrospective comparison of
birth rates in 20 European countries over the period of last 100 years.
In this case, the situation is even sadder: the fertility drop looks
especially dramatic when we compare the today’s birth rates with those
in the beginning of the 20th century.
The birth rates in Eastern Orthodox countries—Russia, Serbia,
Bulgaria, Romania—stand out among the highest 100-years-old birth rates
on the chart (the most highest was precisely in Russia). It is well
known that the Orthodox doctrine considers the family as one of the
most important values. However, since having moved away from their
cultural and religious roots, these countries have become leaders in
reducing fertility and abortions (which are discussed below).
""
Figure 4. Crude birth rates (number of births per 1000 people per year)
in some European countries 100 years ago and today.

Abortions

Abortions are one of the most distressing aspects of degradation of the family.
According to various sources, 50–60 million abortions are performed
world wide each year. This means that 137–164 thousand unborn children
are killed every day in the world. More than 6,000 abortions are
carried out every hour. While you are reading this text, 3,000 innocent
babies are being lost.
In Russia, 2–2.5 million abortions are performed annually. I am
ashamed to say that our country was the first to legalize abortions—in
1920, i.e. about 40–50 years earlier than in Western countries and
36–37 years earlier that in socialist countries of Easter Europe
(Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Romania—in 1956, Czechoslovakia and
Yugoslavia—in 1957).
Currently, abortions are not only the violent way of denial of the
future but also a brutal kind of discrimination. Sex-selective abortions
in China, India, the Caucasus and Central Asia—when couples prefer to
give birth only to children of a particular sex (usually male)—have
become horrifically widespread. 
In China, this has led to a serious sex ratio imbalance: young men outnumber young women by more than 30 million.
Under pressure of international anti-family organizations, including
various UN agencies, many countries have been making a choice against
life.
In 2007, they were joined by Portugal, which passed a law allowing
abortion on demand. In the same year, the State Congress of Mexico City
legalized abortion during the first 12 weeks of pregnancy. In 2009,
Spain passed another permissive law, which allowed unrestricted
abortion at up to 14 weeks.
On Figure 5 you can see a so-called “abortion map” showing the legal regulation of abortion in all countries of the world.
""

   Legal on request    Illegal with exception for maternal life, health, and/or mental health
   Legal for rape, maternal life, health, mental health, socioeconomic factors, and/or fetal defects.    Illegal with no exceptions
   Illegal with exception for rape, maternal life, health, fetal defects, and/or mental health    Varies
   Illegal with exception for rape, maternal life, health, and/or mental health    No information.

Figure 5. Legal regulation of abortion in the world
(September, 2010)

Diminishing of the Prestige of Marriage

Increase of the age of marriage

The growing average age of marriage is another indicator of the
family’s ill-being. This trend has spread to many countries; and it
means that not only more time is required to obtain education and to
realize career aspirations but that the life priorities have
significantly changed. The family is now less regarded as a form of
self-actualization.
The increase of age of marriage also causes:

  • a higher probability of sexually transmitted infections (due to extramarital sexual relations);
  • reproductive health deterioration;
  • a decrease in the period of potential reproduction.

Additionally, the medical community thinks that giving birth to the
first child after age of 28 (and even after 25) is a definite risk
factor. This critical age, as it is shown on Figure 6, has long been
exceeded in many countries.
""
Figure 6. The average age at first marriage for women in some countries
in the late 19th and early 21st century.

Illegitimate births

The today’s unprecedentedly high rate of extramarital births is
another vivid illustration of the family and demographic crisis.
On the one hand, out-of-wedlock births are caused by widespread
cohabitation; on the other hand, by growing orientation towards
promiscuous sexual relation. Both the reasons, in turn, are caused by
diminishing of the prestige of lawful wedlock in the eyes of the modern
young people.
""
Figure 7. Illegitimate births in industrially developed countries,
1950—2008, %
Marital fidelity and monogamy are being replaced by a social chaos
in the form of so-called serial monogamy and promiscuity (a primitive
form of sexual relations).
In the U.S., more than 5 percent of men have several children
simultaneously in different families; and the men themselves are often
not aware of it. In Britain, every 10th child is brought up by a man
who mistakenly believes he is the father of the child. In Sweden and
Estonia, almost 60 percent of all the children are born out of wedlock.
In these countries, where the majority of population chooses anti-family behaviour, the family is actually becoming history.

Divorces

An important indicator of the family stability is the divorce rate.
For many decades, there have been two world’s leaders in divorces—Russia and the the U.S.
The Divorce Top10 (divorces per 1000 population in the year 2000) is as follows:

  • the U.S.—4.7;
  • Russia—4.3;
  • Belarus—4.3;
  • Ukraine—4.0;
  • Estonia—3.1;
  • Lithuania and the Czech Republic—2.9;
  • Finland—2.7;
  • Latvia—2.6.

At the same time, we can see a significant gap between the Top10 and
another group of countries, which have a much lower divorce rate. For
example, in the same year (2000), there were only 0.9 divorces per 1000
population in Greece, 0.8 in Uzbekistan, 0.7 in Azerbaijan and
Macedonia, 0.4 in Armenia, Georgia, and Tajikistan. [2].
Nevertheless, in spite of the differences in the statistics, a global trend of divorce rate increase is perfectly evident.
""
Figure 8. Divorce rate evolution in 19 industrially developed countries
for the period 1950–2008.

Cultivation of vice

Abortions, divorces and out-of-wedlock births are not something that
comes naturally. They are the results of the general moral decline and
anti-family propaganda.
We are witnessing an intensive cultivation of vice in the world.
Even marital intimacy has lost its basic meaning. The motivation of
sexual relations is changing dramatically. Respondents of a survey
carried out in the U.S. in August, 2007 mentioned 237 reasons for
having sex. The wish to propagate the species didn’t rank among even
the Top50.
The increasing rate of prostitution is another terrible evidence of
the social catastrophe. In India, there are 10 million women
engaged in prostitution, in Thailand—2 million, in the U.S.—1 million,
in Germany—200,000. 500,000 of women from Eastern Europe and 200,000
from the former Soviet Union are engaged in prostitution in Western
Europe. And those are just the official figures.
Increasingly, children are forced into prostitution as well:
400,000 children in India, 320,000 in the U.S., 100,000 in the
Philippines, 300,000 in Thailand, 500,000 in China.
In 2007, the annual turnover of the world’s pornography industry
exceeded $60 billion, of which 12 billion were attributed to the United
States. The porn video industry is a market worth €30 billion (thanks
largely to the Internet)—twice the worth of the market of all the other
video.
In the U.S., 10 percent of all the products being sold through the
Internet have sexual connotations. Half of all the videos downloaded
from commercial websites are child or pseudo-child pornography. There
are about 10,000 sites for pedophiles in the WWW. 40 million adult men
and children regularly visit porn websites. 12-17-years-old teenagers
are the core audience of the online pornography. [3]
Another ethical and, at the same time, demographic problem is
propaganda of homosexuality and attempts to legalize same-sex marriage.

Today it is officially allowed on four continents in such countries
as Holland, Belgium, Canada, Spain, South Africa, Norway, Sweden,
Iceland, Mexico, in some U.S. states. Besides, there are 20 countries
with other legal forms of same sex unions. Some experts predict
legalization of gay marriages also in China. According to Forbes, it is expected as early as 2019.

Conclusion

Now I have only to state that the modern family has a severe disease
that entails tragic consequences for almost all spheres of human
activity.
In this case, the successful
returning of the family to the demographically healthy state will depend
not so much on improving economic conditions, but mainly on its early
spiritual and moral recovery.
Unfortunately, there is no universal recipe for treating the family’s
disease. However, it is evident that the rehabilitation means
system-wide work on the following areas:

  • changing the informational climate;
  • familistic expert examining of regulatory framework;
  • reorienting values and goals of school education;
  • improving health care and obstetrics;
  • familization of social policy, business and labor relations;
    applying new family-oriented approaches to housing policy,
    town-planning, etc.


[1]World Population Prospect: The Revision 2004;
[2]Savinov
L. I., Kuznetsova B. Social Work with Children in families of divorced
parents: Textbook, Ed. prof. L. I. Savinov.—3rd ed.—M. 2004. P.13
[3]Jacques Attali. Amours

Дата публикации: 2010-12-16 17:10:06

François de Siebenthal
Economiste HEC Lausanne et lic. és sc. iur.

23, av. ed. Dapples

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